Football

AN ANALYSIS ON FOOTBALL BETTING

Football is worlds most popular sports and has a huge share of the betting market.

Football requires little in the way of introduction. Two teams with elven players each go head to head and magic happens.

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Competition element – Home advantage

The ” home benefit “actually exists, as any football betting and soccer fan might imagine, and by analysis of any number of football results to prove it is lightweight. The home team wins statistically that approximately 45% of their games, about 30% of the lots the undecided and only 25% of the game wins the visiting team . On average, the home team scored per game 2.6 goals. The value of the home advantage in goals per game makes up 0.40 goals calculated.

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Probability for game results

When the home team wins is the result of over 60%: 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1. The visiting team wins, it accounts for about 70% of the results at 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1. Draw naturally eliminated with very high probability on the results of 0-0, 1-1 or 2-2.

Influence of First Goal

Achieved the visiting team , the first goal of the game, increases the probability a draw to experience. The visiting team is able to offset a deficit, but there is a high probability that the home team wins the game eventually. So, do not panic if your team a head start with a home game at times loses.

Half-times and gates

Almost one third of all football games go with the state 0-0 into the half time break . Most only see the second Half the real action! If the match at half time 0-0, the chances of a tie have become much more to see and to the detriment of the probability of a victory for the home team. So your team is playing at home and at half-time status of 0-0, then this is a rather bad sign. Does your team away and it is after 45 minutes 0-0, then this is indeed a good sign, but they should still do not have any high hopes. Because there is a game at halftime 0-0, then it is extremely important that your team will score in the second half, the first goal. This succeeds, there is a good chance that your team decides the game for themselves. However, your team plays at home and is back at the break after goals, so you must succeed in the second half of the first goal, otherwise the chances of victory disappear into insignificant.

Possession and shots on goal

The after game parts dominant team with the greater number of shots on the opponent’s goal is not always the “sure winner” ! Even when there is dominance, a 1 in 4 chance to win the optically inferior team.

Goals in the final minutes

And here is my final tip: Never leave the stadium early! The probability that in the last minutes or even in injury time a goal is actually above average! Again, results in the analyzes, a small advantage for the home team. All these statistical observations for football betting are applicable across a large number of soccer games and have been simplified for better memory. Individual games can of course also differ greatly from the foregoing, depending on the capabilities of the teams and the game of course!